Prediction and odds for the game: Atletico Madrid (5/6) v Sevilla (7/2)
We are backing the draw at odds of 12/5
When: Saturday 07th March 2020, Kick-off 3 PM
Where: The Wanda Metropolitano
On Saturday afternoon, Atletico Madrid and Sevilla go head-to-head at the Wanda Metropolitano, in a game that could prove to be massive in the race for the Champions League places in La Liga.
Atletico Madrid
Diego Simeone’s team find themselves fifth-place in the Spanish top-flight, a point outside the lucrative top-four spots. The team from the capital are also only three points clear of seventh-place Valencia in a congested area of the table.
Last time out, Los Rojiblancos could only muster a 1-1 draw at relegation-threatened Espanyol. The positive to take from the game is that they are now four matches unbeaten in La Liga. The negative is that Simeone’s team has won just twice in their last seven games in the Spanish top-flight.
As has become the norm with Atletico in La Liga, their recent games have been low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals scored in five of their last seven matches in the Spanish top-flight.
Despite their recent underwhelming form in La Liga, Atleti remain hard to beat at the Wanda, as they have lost just once in their last 20 home games in La Liga. They have also won four of their last five league matches on home soil.
Sevilla
The Andalusians are enjoying a promising campaign under former Spain head coach Julen Lopetegui. They are currently third in the table and two points clear of the home side after a decent recent run of form.
A late 3-2 home win over ten-man Osasuna means the visitors are unbeaten in five games in all competitions. It also means that the Andalusian’s have recorded back-to-back wins in La Liga, scoring three goals in each win.
The visitor’s recent games in the Spanish top-flight have been high-scoring, with over 2.5 goals scored in their four outings. That high-scoring record is likely to face a test in Madrid.
Sevilla have a highly inconsistent recent away record in La Liga. They have won two and lost two of their last four away outings in the Spanish top-flight. The visitors have not necessarily been prolific on the road in La Liga, but they have scored in 13 of their last 14 away matches in the Spanish top-flight.
Conclusion
We are expecting a tight game, which is unlikely to be a feast of goals. Sevilla are arguably in the better form of the two teams. However, Atletico are difficult to beat at the Wanda Metropolitano. The last three meetings between these two teams finished in 1-1 draws. We are backing this encounter to finish in a low-scoring draw too, which will do little for either team’s chances of clinching a Champions League spot this season.
Verdict: We are backing the draw at odds of 12/5 and/or the under 2.5 goals scored at odds of 8/15. (All odds are taken from Bet365).
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Will either team enhance their European hopes at the Wanda Metropolitano?
