Prediction and odds for the game: Portimonense (6/1) v Benfica (2/5)
We are backing under 2.5 goals scored at odds of 23/20
When: Wednesday, 10th June 2020, Kick-off 19:15
Where: The Estadio Municipal de Portimao
On Wednesday night, Portimonense host Benfica at the Estadio Municipal de Portimao, in a game that could be massive at both ends of the Primeira Liga table.
The home side recorded a potentially vital 1-0 win over Gil Vicente last time out to kickstart their bid for Primeira Liga survival. The victory moved the team from the Algarve to within three points of safety.
It also ended a 12-game winless run for the home side in the Portuguese top-flight. Portimonense also headed into the last game on the back of six defeats in eight league outings. The win should boost Paulo Sergio’s team ahead of this difficult clash.
Portimonense have been difficult to beat on home soil of late in the Primeira Liga, as they have lost just one of their last eight home games in the league. However, they have also drawn five of those eight matches, with too many home draws a big reason for their perilous position in the table.
Their recent home matches have been close encounters of the low-scoring kind, with under 2.5 goals scored their last six matches on home soil in the Primeira Liga.
The reigning Portuguese champions’ form has rather stuttered of late. The Eagles have drawn their last three league games, with a goalless draw against Tondela at the Estadio da Luz last time out taking them back to the top of the Primeira Liga on goal difference. A record of just one win in their last six league matches is not one of champions.
Uncharacteristically for Benfica, their recent games have been low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals scored in their last five Primeira Liga. It is uncharacteristic of the Eagles because Bruno Lage’s team are the top scorers in the league with 52 goals this season. In Brazilian forward Carlos Vinicius, they also have the league’s top scorer.
The reigning champions recent away form has not been great, as they have won just one of their last three league matches on their travels. However, on the flip-side, the Eagles have won 19 of their last 21 Primeira Liga matches on their travels. Benfica have also scored in their last 21 away games in the Portuguese top-flight. They have also kept clean sheets in four of their last six matches on their travels.
The win last time out will have given the home side a confidence boost, while Benfica have not been in great form of late. However, we are backing the visitors to record a victory in a tight game. We are also backing under 2.5 goals scored, as both teams recent matches have been low-scoring affairs.
Verdict: We are backing under 2.5 goals scored at odds of 23/20 and/or the away win at odds of 2/5. (All odds are taken from Bet365).
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Who will pick up a potentially massive three points in Portimao?