Prediction and odds for the game: Bayer Leverkusen (4/9) v Koln (11/2)
We are backing the home win
When: Wednesday, 17th June 2020, Kick-off 18:30
Where: The BayArena
On Wednesday night, Bayer Leverkusen host Koln at the BayArena, as the home side look for three potentially vital points in the fight for Champions League spots in the Bundesliga.
The home side are somehow in the top-four, despite a recent run of poor form that has seen them claim just one win in their last four outings in the German top-flight. Last time out, Peter Bosz’s side drew 1-1 against struggling Schalke. The result was an underwhelming one. However, the point was enough to move Bayer into the Champions League berths, but only by a point.
Bayer may have been in poor form of late, but at least their recent league games have been relatively entertaining, with over 2.5 goals scored in five of their last seven Bundesliga outings.
Bosz’s team are usually strong at the BayArena. However, their recent league form on home soil has been mixed. A four-game winning run on home soil, where they smashed home at least two goals in each match was followed by two straight defeats, in which they then conceded four goals in each.
Like their recent Bundesliga matches in general, their latest home games in the German top-flight have been relatively high-scoring, with over 2.5 goals scored in six of their last eight matches at the BayArena.
With just three league games remaining it seems that the Billy Goats have achieved their objective of surviving in the Bundesliga this season. They are seven points clear of the relegation zone, so could still mathematically suffer relegation. However, with time running out, Markus Gisdol’s team look secure.
It is lucky for Koln that they are so many points ahead of the danger zone, as their recent form in the Bundesliga has been poor. A 2-1 home defeat by Union Berlin last time out means that the visitors are winless in seven league matches, including losing three of their last four matches in the German top-flight.
A terrible recent defensive record has proven a big factor in those poor recent league results, as the visitors have conceded at least two goals in six of their last seven Bundesliga matches.
Koln have a poor recent away record in the Bundesliga, as they have won just three times in their last 12 league matches on their travels. The visitors have also lost two of their last three away games in the German top-flight.
Neither team is in great form, but Leverkusen have the extra quality and motivate. We are backing the home win. We also believe there will goals in this game, as both teams tend to be involved in high-scoring affairs. Therefore, we are backing over 2.5 goals scored.
Verdict: We are backing the home win at odds of 4/9 and/or over 2.5 goals scored at the same odds. (All odds are taken from Bet365).
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Can Bayer Leverkusen claim three potentially vital points against Koln?