Prediction and odds for the game: Spain (4/11) v Switzerland (15/2)
We are backing under 2.5 goals scored at evens
When: Saturday, 10th October 2020, Kick-off 19:45
Where: The Estadio Alfredo Di Stefano
On Saturday night, Spain host Switzerland in Madrid, as both teams look to notch up more points in Group A4 of the Nations League.
Luis Enrique’s team are undefeated in 14 international matches, having recorded a respectable ten victories. Last time out La Furia Roja drew 0-0 with neighbours Portugal in Lisbon in an international friendly. The game saw Spain keep their fourth clean sheet in their previous five matches, having conceded just once in the process.
Despite their recent unbeaten run in the international game, they have been inconsistent in the relatively new Nations League, winning just one of their last four games in the new competition. A 4-0 win over Ukraine in their last outing in the Nations League ended a three-game winless run in the competition.
Spain have only played three games on home soil in the Nations League, hammering Croatia 6-0 and 4-0 Ukraine, while suffering a 3-2 loss against England. The home team have an injury doubt over Tottenham left-back Sergio Reguilon, while Dani Carvalho has withdrawn from the squad due to injury.
Vladimir Petkovic’s team have been in poor form of late, as a 2-1 home friendly defeat against Croatia last time out means that they have failed to win in three games while suffering two defeats. The defeat last time out now means that both teams have scored in their previous four international outings. Their recent outings have also been high-scoring, with over 2.5 goals scored in three of their last four outings.
Switzerland have not been great on their travels of late, as they have recorded just one of their previous five away matches while suffering three defeats. The visitor’s recent record in the Nations League has not been great, as they are winless in their last four games in the relatively new competition. A 1-1 home draw with Germany in their previous Nations League outing was a creditable result.
Switzerland have not been great on the road in the Nations League, winning just one of their four games in the newly established competition, suffering three defeats. Their recent away games in the Nations League have been high-scoring, as all four of their matches on the road have produced over 2.5 goals. Both teams have also scored in all four away games in the competition.
Spain head into this clash as big favourites to record the win. However, until recently Switzerland have been hard to beat under Petkovic. There were signs of that solidity against Germany, but we still believe that La Furia Roja will record a victory. We are not backing the home win, as it offers little value. The bet we are backing is under 2.5 goals scored and also draw/Spain, which offers a little more value.
Verdict: We are backing under 2.5 goals scored at evens and/or draw/Spain at odds of 11/4. (All odds are taken from Bet365).
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Who will come out on top in this clash?