Italy vs England Preview, prediction and odds

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Prediction and odds for the game: Italy (9/5) vs England (6/4)

We are backing the draw at odds of 11/4

When: Friday 23 September 2022, Kick-off 19:45

Where: The Giuseppe Meazza

On Friday night, Italy and England clash in Milan, as the two teams battle it out for what could be crucial points in Group A3 of the Nations League.


The Azzurri are not in the best of form heading into this clash, as they have won just one of their previous five international matches. A longer-term record of just two wins in their last nine international matches is not great either.

When it comes to the Nations League, Italy has been highly inconsistent of late, as they have won two, drawn two and lost two of their previous six games in the competition.

However, a 5-2 mauling in Germany in their last Nations League game ended a four-game unbeaten run. It was another poor defensive display from Italy, who have been so solid in defence in the recent past. The Azzurri have now kept just one clean sheet in their previous six games in the Nations League, which was in the reverse fixture at Molineux.


The Three Lions have failed to win any of their four games in Group A3 of the current Nations League campaign. Gareth Southgate’s team has suffered defeats home and away against Hungary but have drawn their games against Germany and Italy.

The visitor’s recent problem in the Nations League has been scoring goals, as they have scored just once in their four group games.

However, England doesn’t just have a poor record in the current Nations League campaign. Their poor record extends from the last campaign, as they have now won just one of their previous seven games in the competition. They have also suffered four defeats in the same run.

The Three Lions have a poor away record in the Nations League, winning just one of their eight away games in the competition in 90 minutes. However, their away games in the Nations League have been tight affairs, as their last six matches in the competition on their travels have all produced under 2.5 goals.

The fact that England has failed to score in four of their last six away games in the Nations League has been a significant factor in those recent low-scoring matches on their travels.


Both these teams head into this clash on poor runs of form and low on confidence. The recent meetings between these two teams have been tight and low-scoring affairs. In fact, the last four games between the pair have produced low-scoring draws. We believe this game will follow suit and produce more of the same. Therefore, we are backing the draw and under 2.5 goals scored.

Our Tips: We are backing the draw at odds of 11/5 and/or under 2.5 goals scored at odds of 3/5. (All odds are taken from Bet365)

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Will this clash in Milan produce yet another stalemate between these two teams?

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