Prediction and odds for the game: England (11/8) vs Germany (2/1)
We are backing the away win
When: Monday 26 September 2022, Kick-off 19:45
On Monday night, England hosts Germany in Group A3 of the Nations League, as the home team attempts to recover some pride after relegation from the top tier of the competition.
Gareth Southgate’s team has endured a woeful campaign in Group A3. The Three Lions have picked up just two points from their five games in the group, a record which will see them playing in the second tier of the Nations League in the next campaign. They have gone five games without a win for the first time in eight years.
England’s main problem in the Nations League has been scoring goals, as they have scored just once in five matches in the competition, despite having an exciting array of attacking players in their squad.
The Three Lions home record in the Nations League has also been poor, as they have won just one of their last four home matches in the competition. Southgate’s team has also failed to score in three of their previous four home matches in the Nations League.
Like England, Germany has underperformed in the Nations League. Despite looking like contenders to top the group, Die Mannschaft have picked up just one win from their five group games, yielding six points in the process. The points tally means that Germany no longer has a chance of topping the group.
A 1-0 home defeat by surprise group leaders Hungary last time out ended a four-game unbeaten run for Hansi Flick’s team. However, the run was an underwhelming one. The defeat last time out also means that Germany has won just three of their 15 matches in the Nations League since its inception.
Die Mannschaft have a poor away record in the Nations League, as surprisingly, for a team of their quality, Germany has won just one of their seven away matches in the Nations League since its inception in 2018. That poor recent away run also includes three draws and three defeats.
Although not all their recent away games in the Nations League have been high-scoring, both teams have scored in five of their last six away games in the Nations League.
Neither of these two teams has much to play for heading into this final game of the group. Even England’s formerly formidable home record has been shaky of late. Germany’s recent away record in the Nations League has also been poor.
On current form, though, we are backing a narrow away win, as Germany hasn’t been great of late, but England has been worse. The other bet we are backing is under 2.5 goals scored, as the Three Lions have been goal-shy of late, while the usually goal-happy visitors have also not been prolific in recent matches.
Our Tips: We are backing Germany to win at odds of 2/1 and/or under 2.5 goals scored at odds of 8/11. (All odds are taken from Bet365).[geosnippet id=3620]
If you are looking for a bookmaker for your bet on England vs Germany, then why not check out our betting page for the bookmakers we recommend for your bet? If you want more previews and tips, then you may also like our soccer predictions page, where we post regularly.
Which of these out-of-form teams will come out on top at Wembley?