Prediction and odds for the game: Sevilla (8/13) v Athletic (9/2)
We are backing the under 2.5 goals at odds of 4/6
When: Friday 3rd January 2020, Kick-off 8 PM
Where: Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
The Andalusian giants are experiencing a positive campaign under former Spain head coach Julen Lopetegui. A victory in this outing will move the home side level on points with second-place Real Madrid in the table.
Despite their good position in the table, Lopetegui’s team finished 2019 in inconsistent style, with one, a draw and a defeat in their last three league matches of the year. However, the win came last time out, when they recorded a 2-0 win at Real Mallorca.
The game last time out produced another relatively tight and low-scoring encounter, as eight of their last ten La Liga games have produced under 2.5 goals. A big factor in those low-scoring matches is that the home side has not been prolific this season. So much so, that they are the lowest scorers in the top six of La Liga.
Sevilla have a decent recent home record in the Spanish top-flight. However, a shock 2-1 defeat against Villarreal in their last league game at the Sanchez Pizjuan ended a five-game unbeaten run on home soil.
The Basque boys are enjoying a typically solid La Liga campaign. Athletic are just two points astray of the European spots and four points outside the Champions League berths.
The visitors may even have been in La Liga’s top-four if it were not for poor form at the end of 2019, as the visitors have failed to win in their last three league outings. Their last two league encounters of 2019 produced goalless draws against Eibar and Real Madrid.
Like their Friday night opponents, Athletic’s recent league encounters have been relatively low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals scored in three of their last four La Liga outings.
The visitors have struggled badly for away wins of late in the Spanish top-flight, winning just two of their last 14 matches on their travels in the English top-flight. They have also won just once in their last 11 away games.
Athletic’s recent away games have been low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals scored in ten of their last 12 games. The fact that the Basque side has failed to score in five of their last eight away games has certainly proven a crucial factor in that particular record.
Sevilla tend to be strong at home, while Athletic’s away form is questionable, to say the least. We are backing the home win, but at odds of 8/13 is not the best value. The other bet we are backing is the under 2.5 goals, as both sides have been involved in low-scoring games of late, so this game could follow suit.
Verdict: Back the under 2.5 goals scored at odds of 4/6 and/or the home win at odds of 8/13. (All odds are taken from Bet365).[geosnippet id=3620]
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Who will win between Sevilla and Athletic?