Prediction and odds for the game: Parma (7/1) v Atalanta (1/3)
We are backing the away win
When: Tuesday, 28th July 2020, Kick-off 18:30
Where: The Stadio Ennio Tardini
On Tuesday evening, Parma host Atalanta at the Stadio Ennio Tardini in Serie A, with the away side pursuing second spot in the penultimate game of the Italian top-flight campaign.
The home team are enjoying a solid campaign in Serie A, as they are currently ninth-place in the table, having won their previous two league games against Napoli and last time out Brescia. The victories were much-needed, as Roberto D’Aversa’s team had suffered defeats in six of their previous seven matches in the Italian top-flight. They had also conceded at least twice in all seven of the winless games.
Parma’s recent league games have offered good value for money when it has come to goals, as their previous ten Serie A games have all produced over 2.5 goals. That previously mentioned poor defensive record was a massive contributing factor in the high-scoring matches.
The home team’s recent home form in the Italian top-flight has been poor, as a 2-1 win against Napoli in their last home game ended a winless run of six league matches at the Ennio Tardini. Not only did they fail to win in those six games, but they also suffered five defeats in the run.
The away team are currently third in the Serie A table, a point behind Inter, who currently occupy second place. However, a 1-1 draw at AC Milan last time out means the Nerazzurri can no longer catch leaders Juventus, who claimed their ninth straight Scudetto.
Atalanta are unbeaten in their last 16 matches in Serie A, although three of their previous five games have ended all-square. The visitor’s recent league games have been uncharacteristically low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals scored in their last three matches in the Italian top-flight. Despite their recent low-scoring league matches, Atalanta are still the top scorers in Serie A, scoring a massive 19 goals more than Inter, who are the second most prolific team in the league.
Gian Piero Gasperini’s team are unbeaten in nine away games in Serie A. However, they have drawn their previous three league matches on their travels. Both teams have scored in six of their previous seven away games in the Italian top-flight, although three of their last four league games on the road have produced under 2.5 goals scored.
Atalanta have had the better of recent meetings with Parma, winning the last three competitive games in all competitions, while scoring at least three times in all of the victories.
Parma’s league form has picked up a bit in recent weeks. However, despite several recent draws, the visitors are enjoying a fantastic season and we are backing the away win. We are also backing over 3.5 goals scored in this game simply as both teams tend to be involved in major goal fests.
Verdict: We are backing the away win at odds of 1/3 and/or over 3.5 goals at evens (All odds are taken from Bet365).[geosnippet id=3620]
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Will Atalanta continue their impressive campaign against Parma?