Prediction and odds for the game: Bayern Munich (3/10) vs Lazio (8/1)
We are backing Bayern Munich half-time/full-time at odds of 10/11
When: Wednesday, 17th March 2021, Kick-off 20:00
Where: The Allianz Arena
On Wednesday night, Bayern Munich host Lazio at the Allianz Arena in the Champions League last-16 second leg, with the German giants 4-1 up from the first leg.
Although not quite as formidable as last season, the European champions still go into this clash on the back of some decent form. A 3-1 win at Werder Bremen last weekend means that Hansi Flick’s team has recorded four straight competitive victories while scoring at least three goals in all four wins.
The win also saw Polish striker Robert Lewandowski continue his extraordinary run of goalscoring form, as the former Dortmund star has now scored seven goals in his last four outings for the Bavarian giants.
While Bayern may have had a few slip-ups in the Bundesliga, the German champions have maintained a strong record in the Champions League. In fact, Die Bayern are unbeaten in 18 European outings, having recorded 17 victories in the process. Flick’s team have been lethal in attack in European football’s elite competition of late, as they have scored at least two goals in six of their last seven matches in the competition.
Bayern hotshot Lewandowski has scored four times in five Champions League appearances this season. The forward will be confident of adding to his goal tally in this clash.
The visitors are enduring a difficult run of late, as Simone Inzaghi’s team have lost three of their last four matches in all competitions, including the defeat in the first leg of this tie. However, last time out the Italian team ended a three-game losing streak with a 3-2 win over Crotone. Lazio may have claimed the victory, but the game saw a worrying defensive trend for Lazio continue, as they have now conceded at least two goals in their last four competitive matches.
The visitors don’t have a great recent record in the Champions League, as they have won just once in their last six matches in European football’s elite competition. However, the first leg defeat at the Stadio Olimpico ended a six-game unbeaten run in the Champions League for Lazio, although four of those games finished all-square.
Lazio away record in this competition is poor, as the team from the Eternal City have won just once in their last ten away games in the Champions League.
This seems like an unfair game judging by the recent results of the two teams. Bayern have looked close to being back to their deadly best of late, while Lazio have struggled. The home win doesn’t offer much value. However, the Bayern half-time/full-time seems to offer decent value at odds of 10/11. We believe this going to be a high-scoring encounter, so we are also backing over 3.5 goals scored.
Verdict: We are backing Bayern Munich half-time/full-time at odds of 10/11 and/or over 3.5 goals scored at evens. (All odds are taken from Bet365).[geosnippet id=3620]
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Can Lazio cause an upset at the Allianz Arena?