On Saturday evening, England and Bulgaria go head-to-head at Wembley in Group A of Euro 2020 qualifying.
England (Odds of 1/12 for victory)
The home side head into this clash unbeaten in 90 minutes over the last nine international matches. Included in that run is big victories over the Czech Republic and Montenegro in their opening two qualifiers.
Despite playing fewer games than the other teams in the group, Gareth Southgate’s team are leading the way at the top of the table. England have a formidable recent record in qualifying for European Championships, having won their last 12 qualifiers.
The Three Lions have been outstanding at both ends of the pitch during that winning run in qualifying. In fact, the home side has scored at least twice in 11 of those 12 qualifiers, while keeping clean sheets in five of their last six outings.
England have a strong recent home record in qualifying for the European Championships, losing just once in 21 matches, having won their last seven home qualifiers. A record of just one goal conceded in their last seven qualifiers on home soil is impressive. They have also scored at least twice in their last six home qualifiers.
Bulgaria (Odds of 20/1 for victory)
The visitors head to Wembley as major outsiders to pick up anything. Considering England’s recent record on home soil and in qualifiers, Bulgaria’s odds for victory are not a major surprise.
Bulgaria’s recent run of form in international football does not suggest that the visitors are about to pull off a major shock, as they have failed to win any of their last seven international outings.
That poor run of form includes a four-game winless run in Group A, as they have drawn against Montenegro and Kosovo before losing their last two matches against the Czech Republic and last time out Kosovo.
The winless run in Group A has continued the visitor’s poor recent record for qualifying for the European Championships, as they have recorded just one win in eight matches in qualifying.
Considering their poor recent qualification record, it is unsurprising that they have won just twice in nine away games in qualifying. They have failed to win in their last four games on their travels in qualifying, suffering three defeats in the process. Their recent away games in qualifying have been relatively high-scoring, with over 2.5 goals scored in five of their last eight away qualifiers.
This game looks to be a very simple one to predict. England have been strong under Gareth Southgate and in qualifying in general, while Bulgaria have been poor of late and look unlikely to end that winless run in the current qualifying campaign at Wembley.
There is only one way to go with this game, which is a home win at odds of 1/12. The home win is unlikely to give you a great return. The game is likely to be high-scoring too, so backing the over 2.5 goals at evens may add a sliver more value to your bet.
Verdict: Back the home win at odds of 1/12 and/or the over 2.5 goals at evens. (All odds from Bet365)
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