On Saturday afternoon, Atletico Madrid v Valencia go head-to-head at the Wanda Metropolitano, as the home side look to keep pace with likely title rivals Real Madrid and Barcelona.
Atletico Madrid (Odds of 13/20)
The home side made a strong start to their campaign. However, things have gone slightly downhill in recent matches, as Los Rojiblancos have managed to collect just one victory in their last five La Liga outings. On the positive side, Diego Simeone’s team are now unbeaten in four league games.
Another positive for Atletico is that they have not conceded in their last four matches in the Spanish top-flight. The home side has become renowned as a defensively solid team under Simeone and no team has conceded fewer goals in La Liga this season.
Atletico have been a tough nut to crack at the Wanda in recent seasons, only Real Madrid have won at Atletico in La Liga in 24 matches. Los Rojiblancos have drawn three of their last five home league games, though.
Their recent home games in the Spanish top-flight have been low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals scored in five of their last six outings. The fact that Atletico has failed to score in four of their last league games have been a big factor in those recent low-scoring games.
The home side are unbeaten in nine games against Valencia in all competitions, picking up six wins in that stellar run.
Valencia (Odds of 5/1 for victory)
The visitor’s form has improved of late in La Liga, as they are currently in the midst of a four-game undefeated run. Boss Albert Celades has lost just once in La Liga as Valencia, with his only defeat coming in a 5-2 hammering at reigning champions Barcelona.
He has remained unbeaten since after successive home draws against Leganes and Getafe, Los Ches have won the last two league games against Athletic and Alaves in their last outing. Their recent improvement in form has seen the visitors move to eighth in the Spanish top-flight table and within just a point of the European spots.
Los Ches have been highly inconsistent on their travels of late in the Spanish top-flight, winning three and losing three of their last six league outings on their travels. A 1-0 win at Athletic in their last away game ended a two-game losing run away from home. The visitor’s recent away matches have been low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals scored in three of their last four games.
If anything, Valencia are heading into this clash in better spirits than the home side. However, Atletico are notoriously hard to defeat at the Wanda Metropolitano, so Los Ches will no doubt be happy to spoil the shares in the capital.
In fact, we are backing the draw at odds of 13/5 and under 2.5 goals scored at odds of 8/11 due to Atletico’s recent return to defensive solidity and lack of goals of late.
Verdict: Back the draw at odds of 13/5 and the under 2.5 goals scored at odds of 8/11. (All odds are taken from Bet365.)
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Will Atletico Madrid and Valencia cancel each other out in the Spanish capital?