Prediction and odds for the game: Paderborn (15/2) v Dortmund (1/3)
We are backing the away win
When: Sunday, 31st May 2020, Kick-off 17:00
Where: The Benteler Arena
On Sunday evening, Dortmund will attempt to keep their slim title hopes alive when they visit bottom of the table Paderborn.
The home side look destined for a quick return to the German second tier after a poor campaign. Stefan Baumgart’s team are now eight points from the relegation play-off spot with just six league games remaining.
Paderborn have failed to win in their last nine matches in the German top-flight. However, a goalless draw at Augsburg last time out means that the home side has now drawn their last three games in the Bundesliga. Their recent league matches have been low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals scored in four of their last five games.
The home side has a poor recent league record on home soil, winning just one of their last nine league outings at the Benteler Arena, suffering six defeats in the process. Their recent Bundesliga league home games have been high-scoring, with over 2.5 goals scored in six of their last eight games. Both teams have also scored in their last eight league games on home soil.
Paderborn have failed to beat Dortmund in four competitive meetings, with BVB recording two wins and two games finishing in draws.
Lucien Favre suffered a 1-0 defeat at home against league leaders Bayern Munich last time out, a defeat that leaves BVB seven points behind the perennial German champions.
The loss is likely to prove fatal to the visitor’s title hopes. Even their spot in the top-four of the table could be at risk, as only four points are separate second-place Dortmund from Monchengladbach in fifth.
BVB headed into Der Klassiker on a run of six straight league wins, having also conceded just once in the winning run. Favre’s team will be desperate to get back to winning ways in this clash.
Dortmund have a decent recent away record in the Bundesliga, having win four of their last five league games on their travels. BVB’s recent away matches have been high-scoring, with over 2.5 goals scored in seven of their last nine matches on the road. A big factor in those high-scoring matches has been that Dortmund have scored two or more goals in seven of their last eight games on their travels in the Bundesliga.
The defeat against Bayern was a tough one to take for the visitors. However, are backing Dortmund to bounce straight back to winning ways in this clash. We are also backing over 2.5 goals scored, mainly due to Dortmund’s potency on the road of late.
Verdict: We are backing the away win at odds of 1/3 and/or over 2.5 goals scored at odds of 1/2 (All odds are taken from Bet365).
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