Prediction and odds for the game: Famalicao (6/1) v Porto (2/5)
We are backing the away win
When: Wednesday, 3rd June 2020, Kick-off 21:15
Where: The Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho
On Wednesday night, Porto take their title challenge to Famalicao, as last seasons Primeira Liga runners up look to stay ahead of champions Benfica.
The home side has enjoyed a solid campaign under former Everton assistant coach Joao Pedro Sousa. The home side are seventh in the table and just four points outside the European qualification spots.
A recent inconsistent run of form has hindered their chances of finishing in the top-four this season. A goalless draw last time out at Belenenses means that the home team has won just once in their last eight league matches. The run is the first real bump ion the road for Sousa during his short tenure at the club from the north of Portugal.
Their recent home form in the top-flight has let them down of late. However, a 3-1 victory over Sporting in their last home game in the Primeira Liga ended a four-game winless run on home soil in the Portuguese top-flight. Famalicao’s home matches in the Primeira Liga have been relatively high-scoring, with over 2.5 goals scored in eight of their 12 league matches on home soil this season.
The visitors are just a point clear of reigning champions Benfica at the top of the Portuguese top-flight table. Sergio Conceicao’s team head into this clash on the back of a seven-game unbeaten run in the Primeira Liga. A 1-1 home draw with Rio Ave last time out ended a run of six straight wins for Porto.
The visitors recent league outings have been uncharacteristically low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals scored in their last three league matches. These games were surprisingly low-scoring goal because only Benfica have scored more goals in the Portuguese top-flight this season than Porto.
The visitors have a good recent away record in the Primeira Liga, as they are unbeaten in 11 league matches on home soil, having recorded nine wins in the process. They have won their last five matches on the road in the Portuguese top-flight. Porto’s potency in front of goal has been impressive of late on their travels, as Conceicao’s team has scored at least two goals in their last five league matches on the road.
Porto recorded a 3-0 win in the reverse fixture this season. It was the first meeting of the two teams in the Primeira Liga.
Famalicao’s form has dipped slightly after a lightning start to the campaign. Porto have been strong of late and it will be little surprise that we are backing the away win. We are also backing over 2.5 goals simply due to Porto’s recent record in front of goal.
Verdict: We are backing the away win at odds of 2/5 and/or over 2.5 goals scored at odds of 7/10. (All odds are taken from Bet365).
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