Prediction and odds for the game: Burnley (16/5) v Wolves (10/11)
We are backing the draw at odds of 23/10
When: Wednesday, 15th July 2020, Kick-off 18:00
Where: Turf Moor
On Wednesday evening, Burnley host Wolves at Turf Moor, in a game that could be pivotal to both teams’ European hopes.
The Clarets are making a late run for a European place this season. Sean Dyche’s team are four points off seventh place, which may be enough for continental football for next season. A 1-1 draw at newly crowned English champions Liverpool last time out means that the team from Lancashire are now unbeaten in five league Premier League games, having accrued three wins and two draws.
The home sides games have returned to the characteristic low-scoring encounters of late in the Premier League, as the Clarets last five matches in the English top-flight have produced under 2.5 goals.
Burnley have also once again become tough to beat at Turf Moor, as they head into this game six games unbeaten on home soil in the English top-flight. Their recent league games at Turf Moor have been low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals scored in four of their previous five home games in the Premier League.
The visitors still have a chance of finishing in the top-four, but their Champions League hopes have been dealt a blow with Manchester City European ban being overturned by CAS. The ruling means that Nuno Espirito Santo’s team are now four points outside the Champions League spots for next season.
The visitor’s chances of playing Champions League football next season would have been better if it were not for two defeats in their last three league games. However, after two straight league losses, Nuno’s team recorded a 3-0 victory over Everton last time out. The game ended a run of low-scoring matches for the Clarets in the English top-flight, as their previous six matches had all produced under 2.5 goals.
Wolves have a decent recent away record in the Premier League, winning four of their last away matches in the English top-flight. A 1-0 defeat at Sheffield United in their previous away match ended a five-game unbeaten on the road for the team from the Midlands. Their recent away matches have been relatively low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals scored in four of their last five matches on their travels.
Burnley have once again become the solid citizen of the Premier League. They are tough to beat and score against. Wolves will be buoyed by the win over Everton but could find the Clarets a tough obstacle to overcome. We think this will be a hard-fought draw, that may not be the highest scoring, which is why are backing under 2.5 goals scored too.
Verdict: We are backing the draw at odds of 23/10 and/or under 2.5 goals scored at odds of 8/15. (All odds are taken from Bet365).
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Will Burnley keep their European hopes alive against Wolves?