Prediction and odds for the game: Real Madrid (11/20) v Sevilla (17/4)
We are backing the under 2.5 goals scored
When: Saturday 18th January 2020, kick-off 3 PM
Where: The Santiago Bernabeu
On Saturday afternoon, Real Madrid face a potentially tough test as they host Sevilla at the Bernabeu in La Liga.
This game will be the home sides first La Liga match after the winter break. During the short hiatus of the Spanish top-flight, Real Madrid won the Spanish Super Cup in Saudi Arabia, beating city rivals Atletico Madrid on penalty kicks in the final.
Los Blancos are enjoying a very promising La Liga campaign so far. The team from the Spanish capital are only trailing arch-rivals Barcelona at the top of the table courtesy of inferior goal difference.
Zinedine Zidane’s team head into this game on the back of a ten-game unbeaten streak in the Spanish top-flight. However, Los Blancos will be disappointed not to have picked up more victories of late in the Spanish top-flight, as they have drawn three of their last four games.
There were positives to take from those recent draws, such as their defensive displays, as Los Blancos have now conceded just one goal in their last five La Liga games.
Unsurprisingly, considering their position in the table, Los Blancos have a strong recent home record in La Liga, as they have won six of their last nine league games at the Bernabeu while remaining unbeaten in the run.
Former Real Madrid boss Julen Lopetegui returns to the Bernabeu as an opposing coach for the first time since his short disastrous tenure as Los Blancos boss last season.
The former Spain boss is doing a solid job in Andalusia. The visitors are currently in the last Champions League spot, four points clear of Real Sociedad in fifth-place. They are also level on points with third-place Atletico Madrid.
Despite their positive campaign so far in La Liga, their recent results in the Spanish top-flight have been rather inconsistent. A 1-1 draw against Athletic Club at the Sanchez Pizjuan means that Sevilla have won just once in four league matches.
The visitors recent La Liga games have been low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals scored in nine of their last 11 outings in the Spanish top-flight.
The visitors have a decent recent away record in La Liga, as they are unbeaten in five La Liga games away from Andalusia. Like their recent games in general in the Spanish top-flight, their matches on the road of late have been low-scoring with under 2.5 goals scored in ten of their last 12 away games.
Real Madrid are enjoying a strong campaign in La Liga. However, Los Blancos have doubts over the fitness of star attacking Karim Benzema, Eden Hazard and Gareth Bale.
The potential absence of the trio, the home sides defensive record and Sevilla’s habit of low-scoring games are why we are backing the under 2.5 goals at odds of 6/5. We are also backing the home win, but that offers little value.
Verdict: We are backing the under 2.5 goals scored at odds of 6/5 and or the home win at odds of 11/20. (All odds are taken from Bet365).[geosnippet id=3620]
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