Prediction and odds for the game: Gaziantep (3/4) v Ankaragucu (10/3)
We are predicting the home win
When: Saturday 21st March 2020, Kick-off 11 AM
Where: The New Gaziantep Stadium
On Saturday morning, Gaziantep host Ankaragucu in the Super Lig, as the visitors search for points to move them away from the relegation zone.
The home side has slipped to ninth place in the table after a poor recent run of form in the Turkish top-flight. A 1-0 defeat at Alanyaspor last time out means that Gaziantep have failed to win in their last four outings in the Super Lig. The result means that four of their last five league games have produced under 2.5 goals.
The fact that the home side has won just two of their last ten Super Lig matches means that they are seven points clear of the relegation zone. They should be safe from the drop but are not guaranteed their top-flight status for next season just yet.
Gaziantep have an inconsistent recent home record in the Super Lig, as they are undefeated in their last three home matches. However, they have also won just three of their previous 11 league matches on home soil. Their recent home games in the Super Lig have been low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals scored in four of their last five matches.
The visitors are on dangerous ground in the Super Lig. They are currently 17th place in the table, two points from safety but with an inferior goal difference to all the teams above them.
Last time out, Ankaragucu recorded a 2-1 win at home against Rizespor. The victory ended a run of three straight defeats for the visitors in the Super Lig. Despite the win, the visitors have still won just three of their last 20 matches in the Turkish top-flight. All three wins have come in their last six outings in the Super Lig, though, so the visitors have shown signs of some form.
Their recent league outings have been high-scoring, with over 2.5 goals scored in four of their last five matches in the Super Lig.
The club from the Turkish capital has struggled on their travels in the Super Liga, as they have won just once in their last 11 away matches in the Turkish top-flight. Their poor defensive displays have been the key to their poor recent away results, as they have conceded at least twice in eight of their last 11 league outings on the road.
Neither of these teams could say they were in great form. We are going to back the home win simply because the visitors struggled for victories away from home. Their poor defensive record on their travels also points to a high-scoring game, which is why we are backing the over 2.5 goals scored too.
Verdict: We are backing the home win at odds of 3/4 and/or the over 2.5 goals scored at odds of 4/5. (All odds are taken from Bet365).
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