Prediction and odds for the game: Freiburg (7/2) v Bayer Leverkusen (7/10)
We are backing the away win
When: Friday, 29th May 2020, Kick-off 19:30
Where: The Schwarzwald Stadion
On Friday night, Freiburg host Bayer Leverkusen at the Schwarzwald Stadion, as the battle for the European spots in the Bundesliga intensifies.
The home side were tantalisingly close to the European spots in the German top-flight. However, a recent poor run of form in the Bundesliga means that Christian Streich’s team have dropped to four points behind Wolfsburg, who now occupy sixth spot in the table.
A 3-3 draw at Eintracht Frankfurt last time out means that the home side has now won just once in their last seven league outings. The match in Frankfurt went against a low-scoring trend in the Bundesliga for Freiburg, as six of their previous eight matches have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
Even their usually solid home form in the Bundesliga has taken a fall, of late as Freiburg have lost four of their last six matches on home soil in the Bundesliga. Their recent home games have been relatively low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals scored in four of their last five league matches at the Schwarzwald Stadion.
Freiburg have failed to beat Leverkusen in five meetings in all competitions, scoring just once in the run. However, three of those matches have finished in draws.
The visitors head into this game on the back of a shock 4-1 home defeat by Wolfsburg. The defeat saw Bayer slipped out of the Champions League spots. However, they are only trailing fourth place Monchengladbach due to inferior goal difference.
The defeat last time out ended a seven-game unbeaten run for Peter Bosz’s side, who had recorded six wins in the run. The home side will be eager to get back to winning ways in this clash.
When it comes to goals, Bayer Leverkusen are one of the teams to watch in the Bundesliga, as nine of their last 11 league matches have produced over 2.5 goals. The fact the visitors have scored at least two goals in six of their last eight league outings has been a big factor in those high-scoring games.
Bayer have been strong on their travels of late, as they have won five of their last seven games in the Bundesliga. Once again, their attacking prowess has been key to their recent good form on the road, as they have scored at least twice in four of their previous six away matches.
Freiburg’s form is more like a team fighting off relegation than a top-six spot challenger. Bayer will be hoping that the defeat against Wolfsburg was just a blip. We are backing the visitors to come out on top in this game. The other bet we are backing is over 2.5 goals, as Bayer Leverkusen games also seem to produce goals.
Verdict: We are backing the away win at odds of 7/10 and/or over 2.5 goals scored at odds of 4/7. (All odds are taken from Bet365).
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