Prediction and odds for the game: Napoli (21/20) v Roma (13/5)
We are backing the home win
When: Sunday, 5th July 2020, Kick-off 20:45
Where: The San Paolo
On Sunday night, Napoli and Roma go head-to-head at the Stadio San Paolo in Serie A, in a game that could be crucial in deciding which Italian teams will play European football next season.
Gennaro Gattuso’s team has experienced a solid return to action after the break. A 2-0 defeat at Atalanta last time out ended a five-game winning run in Serie A for Gil Azzurri. The home team will hope the defeat in Bergamo was just a blip, as they have looked strong before and after the break.
The defeat against in-form Atalanta also ended a prolific run for Gattuso’s team in Serie A. They had scored at least twice in their four previous matches in the Italian top-flight. Their attacking efforts have contributed to six of their previous nine league matches producing over 2.5 goals.
Napoli home form this season in Serie A has been highly unconvincing. However, Gattuso’s team have improved on home soil, having recorded three wins in their previous four league outings in the Italian top-flight. Their recent home league matches have offered value for money when it has come to goals, as there have been over 2.5 goals scored in seven of their last eight outings.
Napoli have found Roma tough opponents of late, as the home side has won just once in four meetings with the team from the capital.
The Giallorossi hopes of playing Champions League football have ebbed away in recent games. Paulo Fonseca’s team now trail fourth-place Atalanta by 12 points following two consecutive 2-0 defeats against AC Milan and Udinese.
The defeats have also seen Napoli move up to sixth-place and within three points of the visitors in the table. If they continue to struggle for results, Roma’s participation in any European competition may be in jeopardy.
Roma’s recent games in the Italian top-flight have been high-scoring, with at least two goals scored in their last eight Serie A matches.
The Giallorossi’s recent away form may just prove fatal to their bid for a top-four finish this season. The visitors have suffered defeat in three of their four matches on their travels in the Italian top-flight. Poor defensive displays have plagued Roma on the road of late, as they have conceded at least twice in their last four league games.
Napoli have looked revived in recent months under Gattuso, while Roma look to be on a downward spiral. We are backing Napoli to get straight back to winning ways in this clash. Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games of late, so backing over 2.5 goals seems to be a logical choice.
Verdict: We are backing the home win at odds of 21/20 and/or over 2.5 goals scored at odds of 8/11. (All odds are taken from Bet365).
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Which European hopeful will get back to winning ways in Naples?