Prediction and odds for the game: Inter (21/20) v Napoli (12/5)
We are backing the home win
When: Tuesday, 28th July 2020, Kick-off 20:45
Where: The Giuseppe Meazza
On Tuesday night, Inter host Napoli at the Giuseppe Meazza in Serie A, in a game that could be crucial in the visitors hopes of European football for next season.
The Nerazzurri kick-off this game second place in the Italian top-flight, a point clear of third-place Atalanta and fourth-place Lazio. Antonio Conte’s can no longer catch leaders Juventus, who have already been crowned as champions.
A 3-0 win at Genoa last time out in the Italian top-flight means that the home team are undefeated in six games in Serie A, although three of their six undefeated league games have finished in draws. The result last time out means that the home team has scored at least two goals in five of their previous last six league matches. The men from Milan have also been strong in defence of late, as they have kept three cleans sheets in their previous four league outings.
Inter’s recent home form in the Italian top-flight has been inconsistent in recent weeks, as they have won just two of their last five league games on home soil. The Nerazzurri have been prolific at the Giuseppe Meazza in Serie A, having scored at least two goals in five of their previous seven matches.
The visitors are fighting for a Europa League spot for next season and currently sit seventh place, a point behind sixth-place AC Milan. Gennaro Gattuso’s team have been highly inconsistent of late, winning just two of their last five league matches in Serie A.
However, a 2-0 home win over Sassuolo last time out means that the team from Naples have suffered just one defeat in their last seven league games. The victory last time out saw Gattuso’s team keep their first clean sheet in nine outings in the Italian top-flight.
Napoli have struggled for results on their travels of late in Serie A, having only won once in their previous four away games in the Italian top-flight. Although Napoli have not been necessarily been high-scoring in recent away games, they have only failed to score in two of their previous 14 matches on the road in the Italian top-flight.
The visitors don’t have a terrible record at Inter in recent visits, having suffered defeat in just one of their previous five meetings with the Nerazzurri at the Giuseppe Meazza.
Both teams head into this game in decent form in the Italian top-flight. Napoli have a bigger motivation to win. However, we are backing the home team to record a victory in a high-scoring game, as both teams tend to be involved in high-scoring games of late.
Verdict: We are backing the home win at odds of 21/20 and/or over 2.5 goals scored at odds of 8/11. (All odds are taken from Bet365)
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