Prediction and odds for the game: Southampton (21/20) vs Burnley (14/5)
We are backing the draw at odds of 23/10
When: Sunday, 4th April 2021, Kick-off 12:00
Where: St Marys Stadium
On Sunday afternoon, Southampton and Burnley go head-to-head on the south coast, as both teams seek to move further clear of the Premier League relegation zone.
The Saints have endured a mixed campaign. However, a run of just one win in their last 12 Premier League outings has seen them drop towards the relegation zone, although Ralph Hasenhuttl’s team are still seven points clear of the drop zone.
Southampton could do with a victory for an added bit of security, as worryingly they have lost ten of those aforementioned 12 league games. They have also conceded at least two goals in six of their last nine top-flight.
The Saints have a poor recent home record in the English top-flight, as they have failed to win any of their last five league matches on home soil while suffering four defeats in the process. Hasenhuttl’s team have also failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five home games in the top-flight.
Sean Dyche’s team are level on points and goal difference with the home side. Like the Saints, they look secure from the drop but may feel slightly more comfortable with more points on the board. Burnley have found wins hard to come by of late in the Premier League, winning one of their last six league outings. However, four of their last six league games have finished in draws.
The Clarets have struggled to score goals this season, as only leagues bottom two Sheffield United and West Brom have found the net in the English top-flight fewer times than Burnley’s tally of 22. On the flip-side, though, only Brighton in the bottom half of the table have conceded fewer goals this season.
Burnley have found away wins hard to come by of late in the Premier League, having recorded just four wins in their last 14 league matches away from home. The Clarets recent away matches in the top-flight have been uncharacteristically high-scoring, with over 2.5 goals scored in their last three league matches on their travels.
In terms of points and quality, there is very little between these two teams. That is why we are backing the draw in this clash. The two teams have not been the most prolific in front of goal in the Premier League, so we expect this game to be low-scoring. That is why we are backing under 2.5 goals scored.
Verdict: We are backing the draw at odds of 23/10 and/or under 2.5 goals scored at odds of 8/11. (All odds have been taken from Bet365).
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Can either of these teams further consolidate their Premier League status with a win in this clash?